Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.744903 2.880338 3.022399 3.183148 3.360776 3.551970 3.774571
2025-10-26 2.539130 2.730621 2.941296 3.192673 3.487765 3.827575 4.255258
2025-11-02 2.365723 2.588876 2.843026 3.158680 3.547425 4.021094 4.660224
2025-11-09 2.204736 2.442315 2.719623 3.074304 3.527310 4.104584 4.930357
2025-11-16 2.088086 2.336435 2.632299 3.020309 3.531980 4.211174 5.238552
2025-11-23 2.006486 2.265505 2.579869 3.001834 3.575497 4.368260 5.638818
2025-11-30 1.946734 2.216456 2.549527 3.006593 3.646712 4.567971 6.137865
2025-12-07 1.879564 2.153619 2.496570 2.975383 3.662055 4.683914 6.519988
2025-12-14 1.801014 2.072240 2.414644 2.898236 3.603035 4.676556 6.680768
2025-12-21 1.761770 2.039160 2.393774 2.903057 3.663141 4.862257 7.239937
2025-12-28 1.742584 2.030735 2.404488 2.951887 3.792453 5.177464 8.149428
2026-01-04 1.701509 1.991547 2.371291 2.934645 3.816313 5.313154 8.715129
2026-01-11 1.666019 1.961117 2.352246 2.942443 3.890112 5.567265 9.715841
2026-01-18 1.644315 1.948512 2.357582 2.987580 4.031556 5.979866 11.400296
2026-01-25 1.605152 1.910577 2.325308 2.972968 4.070021 6.197427 12.690622
2026-02-01 1.552135 1.851726 2.260593 2.903765 4.005997 6.188537 13.216684
2026-02-08 1.509463 1.805698 2.212403 2.857740 3.979282 6.257534 14.117983
2026-02-15 1.478415 1.774667 2.184509 2.842127 4.006126 6.452911 15.773829
2026-02-22 1.455111 1.753539 2.169989 2.846857 4.070847 6.752069 18.401020
2026-03-01 1.424223 1.720705 2.136799 2.818860 4.070081 6.890100 20.430784
2026-03-08 1.383675 1.673127 2.080124 2.749165 3.982431 6.789090 20.761310
2026-03-15 1.364951 1.655973 2.068229 2.753559 4.041459 7.090902 24.907781
2026-03-22 1.357479 1.654517 2.079679 2.797746 4.185147 7.670992 34.890523